ATP tennis predict — Arthur Gea vs Rigele Te

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 05:25

Predicted probability

Arthur Gea

France

90.58%

Rigele Te

China

9.42%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Gea is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1927 vs 1322), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1949 vs 1305) and a stronger return game (37.7% vs 29.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1927.3 Elo 1322.3

1949.0 Elo (surface) 1305.4

22 Wins 4

18 Wins (surface) 2

11 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.967 Dominance ratio 0.758

58 Rank 840

21.7 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Rigele Te

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Rigele Te

1st Serve In %

54.6%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Rigele Te

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

29.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.3%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea and Rigele Te have never played each other.

Arthur Gea vs Rigele Te — Prediction