ATP tennis predict — Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 3. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Arthur Gea

France

66.56%

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

33.44%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.11

Market probability

55.82% / 44.18%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Gea is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1817 vs 1520), a higher Elo rating (1785 vs 1728) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1785.4 Elo 1727.7

1817.2 Elo (surface) 1520.2

19 Wins 36

15 Wins (surface) 29

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.932 Dominance ratio 0.845

86 Rank 163

21.6 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

54.6%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.3%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea 0 – 0 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard US Open · 2026-08-28

qualification - 3. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #163

Arthur Gea #86

6-3 6-1

4 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 4

50 Service Points 77

24 First Serve In 39

14 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 10

9 Break Points Faced 10

18 Winners 24

18 Unforced Errors 18

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea — Last 10

Nishesh Basavareddy — Last 10