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Arthur Gea vs Clement Chidekh — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Arthur Gea

France

67.73%

Clement Chidekh

France

32.27%

Average Odds

1.32  /  3.16

Market probability

70.54%  /  29.46%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Gea is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1799 vs 1692), a higher Elo rating (1773 vs 1661) and a stronger serve (60.7% vs 60.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1773.1 Elo 1660.9
1799.1 Elo (surface) 1692.1
18 Wins 8
14 Wins (surface) 8
10 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.952 Dominance ratio 1.050
86 Rank 185
21.6 Age 25.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Clement Chidekh

1st Serve In %

54.6%
58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%
66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%
53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%
58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%
45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Clement Chidekh

Break Points Saved %

62.4%
58.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%
41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.3%
56.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%
39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea 00 Clement Chidekh

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Arthur Gea #86

Clement Chidekh #185

6-4 6-7 6-2
8 Aces 4
7 Double Faults 2
105 Service Points 102
54 First Serve In 69
40 First Serve Won 43
29 Second Serve Won 16
4 Break Points Saved 4
5 Break Points Faced 8
31 Winners 32
28 Unforced Errors 44
1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Arthur Gea — Last 10

L W W W L W W W W W

Clement Chidekh — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L