ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fils vs Yannick Hanfmann

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 02:15

Predicted probability

Arthur Fils

France

71.04%

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

28.96%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.90

Market probability

75.73% / 24.27%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fils is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1838 vs 1629), a higher Elo rating (1847 vs 1776) and a better head-to-head record against Yannick Hanfmann (1-0).

Player Comparison

1846.7 Elo 1775.9

1838.2 Elo (surface) 1628.6

123 Wins 195

70 Wins (surface) 58

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.785 Dominance ratio 1.035

24 Rank 57

22.2 Age 34.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Yannick Hanfmann

1st Serve In %

61.5%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Yannick Hanfmann

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.3%

46.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Yannick Hanfmann

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Arthur Fils #21

Yannick Hanfmann #55

7-6 6-1

7 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 63

36 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

18 Winners 10

33 Unforced Errors 24

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Clay Monte Carlo Masters · 2024-04-08

R64

Arthur Fils #36

Yannick Hanfmann #61

6-0 6-2

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

42 Service Points 43

25 First Serve In 28

21 First Serve Won 12

8 Second Serve Won 3

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Fils vs Yannick Hanfmann — Prediction