ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak

ATP Hard Tokyo · qualification - quarterfinal 05:30

Predicted probability

Arthur Fils

France

82.03%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

17.97%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.82

Market probability

75.49% / 24.51%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fils is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2171 vs 1909), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2079 vs 1810) and a better head-to-head record against Kamil Majchrzak (1-0).

Player Comparison

2170.8 Elo 1908.8

2079.1 Elo (surface) 1810.4

129 Wins 108

76 Wins (surface) 68

10 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.883 Dominance ratio 1.113

9 Rank 71

22.3 Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

61.5%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.3%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak

Hard Doha · 2026-02-16

R32

Arthur Fils #40

Kamil Majchrzak #56

6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

5 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 5

99 Service Points 107

65 First Serve In 70

49 First Serve Won 50

18 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction