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Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 3. round 03:05

Predicted probability

Arthur Fils

France

49.95%

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

50.05%

Average Odds

1.61  /  2.32

Market probability

59.03%  /  40.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1857.0 Elo 1807.6
1845.8 Elo (surface) 1791.8
124 Wins 161
71 Wins (surface) 110
10 Last 15 form 9
3 Head-to-head wins 2
0.741 Dominance ratio 1.234
21 Rank 14
22.2 Age 24.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Jiri Lehecka

1st Serve In %

61.5%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
56.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.51
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%
63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%
68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%
52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%
32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%
49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Jiri Lehecka

Break Points Saved %

58.2%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%
45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%
68.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.3%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fils 32 Jiri Lehecka

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-18
6-1 6-7 6-3
5 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 4
88 Service Points 86
57 First Serve In 53
38 First Serve Won 40
16 Second Serve Won 24
5 Break Points Saved 3
9 Break Points Faced 4
19 Winners 25
50 Unforced Errors 35
1.6 Average Odds 2.3
Clay Madrid Masters · 2026-04-22
6-3 6-4
2 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 0
53 Service Points 52
35 First Serve In 39
30 First Serve Won 25
10 Second Serve Won 9
0 Break Points Saved 0
0 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Miami Masters · 2026-03-18
6-2 6-2
6 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 3
45 Service Points 62
33 First Serve In 41
27 First Serve Won 25
6 Second Serve Won 7
0 Break Points Saved 6
0 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Doha · 2026-02-16
6-3 6-3
3 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 2
67 Service Points 69
46 First Serve In 45
32 First Serve Won 23
8 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Canada Masters · 2025-07-27
3-6 6-3 6-4
12 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 1
88 Service Points 76
50 First Serve In 54
42 First Serve Won 41
17 Second Serve Won 13
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Davis Cup Finals RR: CZE vs FRA · 2024-09-14
6-7(5) 7-5 6-4
13 Aces 15
4 Double Faults 2
111 Service Points 107
66 First Serve In 69
50 First Serve Won 49
25 Second Serve Won 18
5 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Arthur Fils — Last 10

L W W W W W W L W W

Jiri Lehecka — Last 10

L W W L W L W W L L