ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fils vs Botic Van De Zandschulp

ATP Hard Shanghai · 3. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Arthur Fils

France

70.83%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

29.17%

Average Odds

1.22 / 4.25

Market probability

77.70% / 22.30%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fils is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2177 vs 1971), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2093 vs 1942) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 10).

Player Comparison

2177.0 Elo 1970.8

2092.9 Elo (surface) 1941.6

134 Wins 180

81 Wins (surface) 123

12 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.883 Dominance ratio 1.140

10 Rank 41

22.3 Age 31.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

58.5%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.8%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fils Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

49.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.3%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Clay Bordeaux CH · 2024-05-13

R16

Arthur Fils #34

Botic Van De Zandschulp #112

6-2 4-6 6-1

2 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 7

77 Service Points 75

36 First Serve In 48

21 First Serve Won 29

25 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Fils vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction