ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fery vs Mees Rottgering

ATP Hard Winston Salem · R16 21:30

Predicted probability

Arthur Fery

Great Britain

58.24%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

41.76%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.66

Market probability

65.04% / 34.96%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1833 vs 1692), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1714 vs 1685) and a stronger serve (65.1% vs 56.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1832.8 Elo 1691.6

1714.4 Elo (surface) 1684.8

24 Wins 6

12 Wins (surface) 5

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.093 Dominance ratio 0.830

37 Rank 389

24.1 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

61.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.7%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.4%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fery 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-26

R16

Arthur Fery #37

Mees Rottgering #389

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 5

58 Service Points 68

41 First Serve In 35

29 First Serve Won 21

14 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 9

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Arthur Fery vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction