ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth

ATP Hard Winston Salem · SF 01:10

Predicted probability

Arthur Fery

Great Britain

72.63%

James Duckworth

Australia

27.37%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.23

Market probability

57.77% / 42.23%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1854 vs 1701), a stronger return game (40.7% vs 38.5% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1748 vs 1719).

Player Comparison

1854.0 Elo 1701.3

1748.4 Elo (surface) 1719.4

26 Wins 173

14 Wins (surface) 117

11 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.214 Dominance ratio 0.932

37 Rank 79

24.1 Age 34.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery James Duckworth

1st Serve In %

61.0%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.7%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

52.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery James Duckworth

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

53.4%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

84.6%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fery 1 – 2 James Duckworth

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-29

SF

Arthur Fery #37

James Duckworth #79

6-4 1-2

0 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 0

47 Service Points 33

29 First Serve In 22

22 First Serve Won 20

7 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

11 Winners 12

21 Unforced Errors 10

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Arthur Fery #36

James Duckworth #86

6-4 2-6 7-6

9 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 4

101 Service Points 89

51 First Serve In 45

38 First Serve Won 37

27 Second Serve Won 23

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 3

22 Winners 33

28 Unforced Errors 41

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Taipei CH · 2024-05-13

QF

James Duckworth #102

Arthur Fery #249

7-5 7-5

5 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 78

38 First Serve In 49

31 First Serve Won 34

18 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Busan CH · 2024-04-08

R16

James Duckworth #107

Arthur Fery #271

4-6 6-1 6-4

7 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 88

48 First Serve In 56

35 First Serve Won 34

17 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 13