ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse

ATP Hard Winston Salem · F 22:00

Predicted probability

Arthur Fery

Great Britain

60.69%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

39.31%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.99

Market probability

52.51% / 47.49%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1748 vs 1692), a higher Elo rating (1854 vs 1815) and a stronger serve (68.2% vs 59.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1854.0 Elo 1815.0

1748.4 Elo (surface) 1691.9

26 Wins 39

14 Wins (surface) 11

11 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.214 Dominance ratio 0.896

37 Rank 36

24.1 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

61.0%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.7%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

53.4%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fery 1 – 0 Ignacio Buse

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-29

F

Ignacio Buse #36

Arthur Fery #37

6-3 6-2

0 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

39 Service Points 54

28 First Serve In 37

13 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 1

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Stockholm · 2025-10-13

Q1

Arthur Fery #221

Ignacio Buse #113

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

49 Service Points 47

33 First Serve In 28

26 First Serve Won 19

8 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction