ATP tennis predict — Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Winston Salem · QF 02:20

Predicted probability

Arthur Fery

Great Britain

64.33%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

35.67%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.89

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1843 vs 1724), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1732 vs 1678) and a stronger return game (38.8% vs 31.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1842.9 Elo 1724.4

1732.2 Elo (surface) 1677.6

25 Wins 84

13 Wins (surface) 64

11 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.132 Dominance ratio 0.940

37 Rank 89

24.1 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Fery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

61.0%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.7%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Fery Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.4%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Fery 0 – 0 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-28

QF

Arthur Fery #37

Aleksandar Kovacevic #89

3-6 7-5 6-3

4 Aces 8

0 Double Faults 7

78 Service Points 88

44 First Serve In 49

36 First Serve Won 38

21 Second Serve Won 20

0 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 5

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction