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Aoran Wang vs Yaojie Zeng — Prediction

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:05

Predicted probability

Aoran Wang

China

50.35%

Yaojie Zeng

China

49.65%

Average Odds

2.08  /  1.69

Market probability

44.83%  /  55.17%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1287.1 Elo 1377.2
1296.8 Elo (surface) 1387.5
11 Wins (Challenger) 5
11 Wins (surface) 5
4 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.689 Dominance ratio 0.768
1004 Rank 976
29.6 Age 24.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aoran Wang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Yaojie Zeng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aoran Wang Yaojie Zeng

1st Serve In %

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.54

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.6%
60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%
66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%
52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.7%
21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

37.1%
41.6%

Aces per Service Game

1.13
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aoran Wang Yaojie Zeng

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
47.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%
31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aoran Wang 00 Yaojie Zeng

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Yaojie Zeng #976

Aoran Wang #1004

6-3 7-6
17 Aces 14
6 Double Faults 1
67 Service Points 51
36 First Serve In 38
28 First Serve Won 37
15 Second Serve Won 7
2 Break Points Saved 0
4 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Aoran Wang — Last 10

L L L L L L L L L W

Yaojie Zeng — Last 10

L L W L L L L L L L