ATP tennis predict — Anton Shepp vs Mark Ceban

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

77.46%

Mark Ceban

Great Britain

22.54%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.21

Market probability

57.85% / 42.15%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Shepp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1478 vs 1396), better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more career match wins (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1478.5 Elo 1396.2

1472.9 Elo (surface) 1500

2 Wins (Challenger) 0

2 Wins (surface) 0

2 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.837 Dominance ratio 0.587

498 Rank 2097

23.8 Age 17.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Mark Ceban

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Shepp Mark Ceban

1st Serve In %

60.0%

82.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%

83.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

15.2%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

1.10

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

68.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Shepp Mark Ceban

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Shepp 0 – 0 Mark Ceban

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-17

1. round

Mark Ceban #2097

Anton Shepp #498

6-1 6-3

4 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 3

43 Service Points 41

31 First Serve In 30

22 First Serve Won 26

2 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Anton Shepp vs Mark Ceban — Prediction