ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Tristan Schoolkate

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

29.86%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

70.14%

Average Odds

2.21 / 1.61

Market probability

42.15% / 57.85%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Schoolkate is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1727 vs 1608), a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1680) and more wins on hard courts (28 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1679.8 Elo 1766.7

1608.3 Elo (surface) 1727.2

37 Wins (Challenger) 119

13 Wins (surface) 100

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.779 Dominance ratio 1.009

321 Rank 165

25.3 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

56.2%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich 0 – 0 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Tristan Schoolkate #165

Anton Matusevich #321

6-7 6-4 6-4

2 Aces 17

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

51 First Serve Won 50

14 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Anton Matusevich vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction