ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

72.13%

Tiago Cacao

Portugal

27.87%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.97

Market probability

68.75% / 31.25%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Matusevich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1663 vs 1406), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1586 vs 1342) and more wins on hard courts (13 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1663.5 Elo 1406.5

1586.2 Elo (surface) 1341.5

37 Wins (Challenger) 16

13 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.779 Dominance ratio 0.968

311 Rank 678

25.3 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Tiago Cacao

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Tiago Cacao

1st Serve In %

56.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

56.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Tiago Cacao

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

36.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich and Tiago Cacao have never played each other.

Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao — Prediction