ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Robin Bertrand

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

61.66%

Robin Bertrand

France

38.34%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.27

Market probability

59.11% / 40.89%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Matusevich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1671 vs 1510), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1599 vs 1563) and a stronger serve (62.2% vs 53.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1671.5 Elo 1509.5

1598.9 Elo (surface) 1562.8

38 Wins (Challenger) 49

14 Wins (surface) 48

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.779 Dominance ratio 0.916

313 Rank 387

25.3 Age 23.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Robin Bertrand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Robin Bertrand

1st Serve In %

56.2%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

41.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Robin Bertrand

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.6%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich and Robin Bertrand have never played each other.

Anton Matusevich vs Robin Bertrand — Prediction