ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · SF 12:10

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

36.92%

Oliver Tarvet

Great Britain

63.08%

Average Odds

2.89 / 1.38

Market probability

32.32% / 67.68%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Tarvet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1706 vs 1649), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1609 vs 1573) and a stronger serve (66.9% vs 62.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1648.8 Elo 1705.6

1573.4 Elo (surface) 1609.1

35 Wins (Challenger) 10

11 Wins (surface) 8

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.775 Dominance ratio 0.875

357 Rank 380

25.2 Age 22.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Oliver Tarvet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Oliver Tarvet

1st Serve In %

56.2%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Oliver Tarvet

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

70.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich 0 – 0 Oliver Tarvet

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-21

SF

Oliver Tarvet #380

Anton Matusevich #357

6-2 2-6 6-2

1 Aces 13

1 Double Faults 3

65 Service Points 74

36 First Serve In 43

25 First Serve Won 33

14 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet — Prediction