ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

62.62%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

37.38%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.27

Market probability

58.96% / 41.04%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Matusevich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1642 vs 1511), the advantage of playing in his home country and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1642.1 Elo 1510.8

1571.4 Elo (surface) 1583.6

36 Wins (Challenger) 25

12 Wins (surface) 14

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.718 Dominance ratio 0.991

330 Rank 276

25.2 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

56.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich 0 – 0 Michele Ribecai

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Michele Ribecai #276

Anton Matusevich #330

6-7 6-3 6-3

10 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 1

108 Service Points 103

62 First Serve In 63

41 First Serve Won 44

19 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 4

14 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Anton Matusevich vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction