ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Mark Ceban

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

62.09%

Mark Ceban

Great Britain

37.91%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.33

Market probability

71.92% / 28.08%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Matusevich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1634 vs 1510), more career match wins (34 vs 2) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2).

Player Comparison

1634.3 Elo 1510.1

1529.7 Elo (surface) 1609.4

34 Wins (Challenger) 2

10 Wins (surface) 2

10 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.734 Dominance ratio 0.723

357 Rank 2097

25.2 Age 17.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mark Ceban

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Mark Ceban

1st Serve In %

56.2%

82.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

83.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

68.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Mark Ceban

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich 0 – 0 Mark Ceban

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-20

QF

Anton Matusevich #357

Mark Ceban #2097

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 4

55 Service Points 52

38 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 21

14 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Anton Matusevich vs Mark Ceban — Prediction