ATP tennis predict — Anton Matusevich vs Cezar Cretu

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

43.53%

Cezar Cretu

Romania

56.47%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.55

Market probability

39.95% / 60.05%

Why This Prediction?

Cezar Cretu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1605 vs 1538), a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1555) and a stronger return game (40.4% vs 37.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1554.8 Elo 1608.1

1537.9 Elo (surface) 1605.1

30 Wins (Challenger) 55

17 Wins (surface) 55

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.968 Dominance ratio 0.973

373 Rank 262

25.1 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Cezar Cretu

1st Serve In %

56.2%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

58.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

35.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

58.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anton Matusevich Cezar Cretu

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

53.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anton Matusevich 0 – 0 Cezar Cretu

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Anton Matusevich #373

Cezar Cretu #262

6-0 6-3

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

43 Service Points 39

27 First Serve In 21

19 First Serve Won 19

3 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Anton Matusevich vs Cezar Cretu — Prediction