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Antoine Ghibaudo vs Akira Santillan — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 12:05

Predicted probability

Antoine Ghibaudo

France

55.45%

Akira Santillan

Australia

44.55%

Average Odds

1.69  /  2.08

Market probability

55.17%  /  44.83%

Why This Prediction?

Antoine Ghibaudo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1628 vs 1557), fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.18) and a lighter recent match load (25 vs 27 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1535.0 Elo 1548.1
1628.4 Elo (surface) 1557.5
53 Wins (Challenger) 161
42 Wins (surface) 113
8 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.941 Dominance ratio 1.064
351 Rank 291
21.5 Age 29.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Antoine Ghibaudo Akira Santillan

1st Serve In %

58.0%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%
73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.3%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%
72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%
30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%
46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Antoine Ghibaudo Akira Santillan

Break Points Saved %

73.7%
53.6%

Break Points Converted %

22.2%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%
52.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Antoine Ghibaudo 00 Akira Santillan

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-05
1 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 1
49 Service Points 39
28 First Serve In 23
13 First Serve Won 20
11 Second Serve Won 9
5 Break Points Saved 0
10 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Antoine Ghibaudo — Last 10

L L W W W L L W L L

Akira Santillan — Last 10

L W L W L L W L W L