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Antoine Escoffier vs Adria Soriano Barrera — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Antoine Escoffier

France

47.35%

Adria Soriano Barrera

Colombia

52.65%

Average Odds

1.97  /  1.76

Market probability

47.18%  /  52.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1527.6 Elo 1505.7
1563.8 Elo (surface) 1497.6
168 Wins (Challenger) 38
154 Wins (surface) 33
7 Last 15 form 5
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.014 Dominance ratio 0.828
988 Rank 695
34.5 Age 27.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Antoine Escoffier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Adria Soriano Barrera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Antoine Escoffier Adria Soriano Barrera

1st Serve In %

61.7%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%
75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%
49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
36.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%
41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%
61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Antoine Escoffier Adria Soriano Barrera

Break Points Saved %

63.5%
69.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%
35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%
57.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%
44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Antoine Escoffier 11 Adria Soriano Barrera

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Antoine Escoffier #988

Adria Soriano Barrera #695

6-4 6-3
2 Aces 10
1 Double Faults 1
43 Service Points 73
23 First Serve In 36
22 First Serve Won 29
14 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 6
0 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.0 Average Odds 1.8
Hard Little Rock CH · 2025-05-26
5 Aces 5
5 Double Faults 6
84 Service Points 90
47 First Serve In 47
35 First Serve Won 32
19 Second Serve Won 19
5 Break Points Saved 7
7 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Mallorca CH · 2023-08-28
8 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 1
65 Service Points 77
43 First Serve In 44
30 First Serve Won 32
16 Second Serve Won 14
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Antoine Escoffier — Last 10

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Adria Soriano Barrera — Last 10

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