ATP tennis predict — Andrey Chepelev vs Jeremy Gschwendtner

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Andrey Chepelev

Russia

86.63%

Jeremy Gschwendtner

Great Britain

13.37%

Average Odds

1.16 / 4.69

Market probability

80.17% / 19.83%

Why This Prediction?

Andrey Chepelev is the favorite because he has more career match wins (38 vs 0), a higher Elo rating (1438 vs 1390) and better recent form (5 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1437.7 Elo 1389.8

1440.1 Elo (surface) 1392.2

38 Wins (Challenger) 0

37 Wins (surface) 0

5 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.910 Dominance ratio 0.594

383 Rank 987

28.1 Age 28.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrey Chepelev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Jeremy Gschwendtner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrey Chepelev Jeremy Gschwendtner

1st Serve In %

67.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

29.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.27

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.9%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.8%

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrey Chepelev Jeremy Gschwendtner

Break Points Saved %

30.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.6%

28.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.2%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrey Chepelev 0 – 0 Jeremy Gschwendtner

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Andrey Chepelev #383

Jeremy Gschwendtner #987

6-2 6-3

2 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

54 Service Points 59

40 First Serve In 32

25 First Serve Won 16

7 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Andrey Chepelev vs Jeremy Gschwendtner — Prediction