ATP tennis predict — Andrew Paulson vs Robert Strombachs

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Andrew Paulson

Czech Republic

44.71%

Robert Strombachs

Latvia

55.29%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.58

Market probability

64.02% / 35.98%

Why This Prediction?

Robert Strombachs is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1506 vs 1421), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1488 vs 1428) and more career match wins (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1421.1 Elo 1505.6

1428.0 Elo (surface) 1488.2

54 Wins (Challenger) 43

38 Wins (surface) 20

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 0.877

606 Rank 415

24.8 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Paulson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Robert Strombachs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Paulson Robert Strombachs

1st Serve In %

—

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

41.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Paulson Robert Strombachs

Break Points Saved %

—

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

26.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Paulson 0 – 0 Robert Strombachs

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Andrew Paulson #606

Robert Strombachs #415

6-2 6-3

6 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

43 Service Points 45

29 First Serve In 30

26 First Serve Won 20

10 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Andrew Paulson vs Robert Strombachs — Prediction