ATP tennis predict — Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:10

Predicted probability

Andrew Paulson

Czech Republic

26.00%

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

74.00%

Average Odds

2.68 / 1.42

Market probability

34.63% / 65.37%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1667 vs 1428), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1667 vs 1437) and more wins on clay courts (38 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1428.5 Elo 1667.0

1436.6 Elo (surface) 1667.4

54 Wins (Challenger) 327

38 Wins (surface) 172

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.880 Dominance ratio 1.178

619 Rank 424

24.8 Age 36.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Paulson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Paulson Norbert Gombos

1st Serve In %

—

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

59.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Paulson Norbert Gombos

Break Points Saved %

—

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Paulson 0 – 0 Norbert Gombos

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Norbert Gombos #424

Andrew Paulson #619

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 4

45 Service Points 42

20 First Serve In 22

13 First Serve Won 21

6 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 2

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos — Prediction