ATP tennis predict — Andrew Fenty vs Ryan Seggerman

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 23:30

Predicted probability

Andrew Fenty

USA

50.87%

Ryan Seggerman

USA

49.13%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.05

Market probability

55.41% / 44.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1561.5 Elo 1595.5

1554.1 Elo (surface) 1473.0

29 Wins (Challenger) 49

28 Wins (surface) 25

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.932 Dominance ratio 1.022

397 Rank 683

26.5 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Ryan Seggerman

1st Serve In %

61.4%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

42.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

22.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Ryan Seggerman

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.9%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

23.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Fenty 0 – 0 Ryan Seggerman

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - 1. round

Ryan Seggerman #672

Andrew Fenty #424

6-7 7-5 6-2

4 Aces 26

7 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 60

22 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.6

Andrew Fenty vs Ryan Seggerman — Prediction