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Andrew Fenty vs Keshav Chopra — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Andrew Fenty

USA

59.56%

Keshav Chopra

USA

40.44%

Average Odds

1.18  /  4.01

Market probability

77.26%  /  22.74%

Why This Prediction?

Andrew Fenty is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (59.3% vs 47.1% of service points won), more career match wins (28 vs 5) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1548 vs 1546).

Player Comparison

1546.1 Elo 1550.5
1548.3 Elo (surface) 1545.9
28 Wins (Challenger) 5
27 Wins (surface) 5
9 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.861 Dominance ratio 0.743
414 Rank 777
26.5 Age 24.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Keshav Chopra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Keshav Chopra

1st Serve In %

61.4%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%
51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%
40.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%
5.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%
0.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%
65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%
40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.69
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Keshav Chopra

Break Points Saved %

58.1%
54.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.9%
56.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Fenty 00 Keshav Chopra

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26
6-2 6-3
1 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 2
50 Service Points 54
38 First Serve In 35
28 First Serve Won 24
9 Second Serve Won 7
0 Break Points Saved 3
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Andrew Fenty — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L W

Keshav Chopra — Last 10

L L W W W L W L W L