ATP tennis predict — Andrew Fenty vs Hunter Heck

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Andrew Fenty

USA

67.54%

Hunter Heck

USA

32.46%

Average Odds

1.28 / 2.99

Market probability

70.02% / 29.98%

Why This Prediction?

Andrew Fenty is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1532 vs 1418), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1551 vs 1428) and more career match wins (26 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1532.2 Elo 1417.9

1551.1 Elo (surface) 1427.5

26 Wins (Challenger) 4

25 Wins (surface) 4

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.910 Dominance ratio 1.045

394 Rank 731

26.4 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Hunter Heck

1st Serve In %

61.4%

50.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

89.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

68.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

77.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Hunter Heck

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.9%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Fenty 0 – 0 Hunter Heck

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Andrew Fenty #401

Hunter Heck #730

2-6 6-3 6-4

12 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 5

86 Service Points 83

51 First Serve In 48

42 First Serve Won 36

16 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Andrew Fenty vs Hunter Heck — Prediction