ATP tennis predict — Andrew Fenty vs Dylan Dietrich

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Andrew Fenty

USA

24.43%

Dylan Dietrich

Switzerland

75.57%

Average Odds

4.10 / 1.20

Market probability

22.64% / 77.36%

Why This Prediction?

Dylan Dietrich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1813 vs 1569), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1725 vs 1553) and a stronger serve (73.0% vs 59.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1569.2 Elo 1813.2

1552.6 Elo (surface) 1725.0

31 Wins (Challenger) 20

30 Wins (surface) 10

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.932 Dominance ratio 0.932

467 Rank 363

26.6 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Dylan Dietrich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Dylan Dietrich

1st Serve In %

61.4%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

80.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

60.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

43.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Dylan Dietrich

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

24.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Fenty 0 – 0 Dylan Dietrich

Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 2026-09-30

R16

Dylan Dietrich #363

Andrew Fenty #467

7-5 6-2

8 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 35

11 Second Serve Won 13

8 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Andrew Fenty vs Dylan Dietrich — Prediction