ATP tennis predict — Andrew Fenty vs Alvaro Guillen Meza

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 00:10

Predicted probability

Andrew Fenty

USA

59.53%

Alvaro Guillen Meza

Ecuador

40.47%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.33

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

Andrew Fenty is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1539 vs 1303), more wins on hard courts (26 vs 1) and more aces per game (0.17 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1521.4 Elo 1553.5

1538.8 Elo (surface) 1302.7

27 Wins (Challenger) 86

26 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.838 Dominance ratio 1.079

414 Rank 281

26.5 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alvaro Guillen Meza

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Alvaro Guillen Meza

1st Serve In %

61.4%

74.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrew Fenty Alvaro Guillen Meza

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.9%

72.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrew Fenty 0 – 0 Alvaro Guillen Meza

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Andrew Fenty #414

Alvaro Guillen Meza #281

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 6

61 Service Points 80

37 First Serve In 50

24 First Serve Won 36

13 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Andrew Fenty vs Alvaro Guillen Meza — Prediction