← Back to Predictions

Andres Martin vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Andres Martin

USA

38.06%

Trevor Svajda

USA

61.94%

Average Odds

2.58  /  1.45

Market probability

35.98%  /  64.02%

Why This Prediction?

Trevor Svajda is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.13), a better head-to-head record against Andres Martin (1-0) and a stronger serve (59.9% vs 52.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1585.4 Elo 1538.7
1587.9 Elo (surface) 1515.3
57 Wins (Challenger) 20
49 Wins (surface) 20
5 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 1
0.957 Dominance ratio 0.856
381 Rank 436
25.1 Age 20.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

56.7%
57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%
71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%
26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%
41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

56.0%
65.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%
32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%
40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Martin 01 Trevor Svajda

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Andres Martin #340

Trevor Svajda #383

6-4 7-6
6 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 2
80 Service Points 67
51 First Serve In 29
38 First Serve Won 22
12 Second Serve Won 17
3 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.4
Hard Little Rock CH · 2024-05-27
6-4 7-6(5)
3 Aces 4
4 Double Faults 2
90 Service Points 89
45 First Serve In 58
32 First Serve Won 35
23 Second Serve Won 16
13 Break Points Saved 10
15 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Andres Martin — Last 10

L L W W L W L W W W

Trevor Svajda — Last 10

L W L W L L W L W L