ATP tennis predict — Andres Martin vs Moez Echargui

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Andres Martin

USA

69.60%

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

30.40%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.07

Market probability

54.76% / 45.24%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1584 vs 1471), a higher Elo rating (1580 vs 1455) and a stronger return game (37.3% vs 36.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1579.9 Elo 1454.9

1584.1 Elo (surface) 1470.8

3 Wins 14

3 Wins (surface) 7

3 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.689 Dominance ratio 0.763

322 Rank 151

25.0 Age 33.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Moez Echargui

1st Serve In %

56.7%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Moez Echargui

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Martin 0 – 0 Moez Echargui

Hard Washington · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Andres Martin #321

Moez Echargui #580

6-2 7-5

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 7

63 Service Points 88

34 First Serve In 59

27 First Serve Won 38

15 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 14

2 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Andres Martin vs Moez Echargui — Prediction