ATP tennis predict — Andres Martin vs Dane Sweeny

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Andres Martin

USA

45.98%

Dane Sweeny

Australia

54.02%

Average Odds

2.37 / 1.54

Market probability

39.39% / 60.61%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1521.1 Elo 1601.5

1531.6 Elo (surface) 1514.9

55 Wins (Challenger) 71

47 Wins (surface) 65

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.932 Dominance ratio 1.138

322 Rank 122

25.0 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Dane Sweeny

1st Serve In %

56.7%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Dane Sweeny

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Martin 0 – 0 Dane Sweeny

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Andres Martin #322

Dane Sweeny #122

4-6 6-3 7-6

9 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 4

102 Service Points 97

63 First Serve In 57

44 First Serve Won 36

19 Second Serve Won 21

1 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Andres Martin vs Dane Sweeny — Prediction