ATP tennis predict — Andres Martin vs Alex Kobelt

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Andres Martin

USA

93.21%

Alex Kobelt

USA

6.79%

Average Odds

1.02 / 13.69

Market probability

93.07% / 6.93%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1585 vs 1219), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1588 vs 1238) and more career match wins (57 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1585.4 Elo 1219.0

1587.9 Elo (surface) 1237.9

57 Wins (Challenger) 0

49 Wins (surface) 0

5 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.957 Dominance ratio 0.658

381 Rank 1811

25.1 Age 29.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alex Kobelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Alex Kobelt

1st Serve In %

56.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

51.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

41.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

23.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

34.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.91

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.61

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Martin Alex Kobelt

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Martin 0 – 0 Alex Kobelt

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - 1. round

Andres Martin #340

Alex Kobelt #1823

6-1 6-1

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 6

37 Service Points 43

24 First Serve In 27

20 First Serve Won 14

10 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 13.7

Andres Martin vs Alex Kobelt — Prediction