ATP tennis predict — Andres Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · QF 20:30

Predicted probability

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

45.20%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

54.80%

Average Odds

3.11 / 1.26

Market probability

28.83% / 71.17%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1558.1 Elo 1638.1

1565.0 Elo (surface) 1513.3

69 Wins (Challenger) 51

34 Wins (surface) 33

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 0.830

251 Rank 172

27.7 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Andrade Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

62.5%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Andrade Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.6%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.9%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Andrade 0 – 0 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-15

QF

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

Andres Andrade #251

4-6 7-5 7-6

6 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 6

116 Service Points 108

75 First Serve In 69

52 First Serve Won 49

19 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Andres Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction