ATP tennis predict — Andres Andrade vs Gauthier Onclin

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 03:00

Predicted probability

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

31.80%

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

68.20%

Average Odds

2.93 / 1.36

Market probability

31.70% / 68.30%

Why This Prediction?

Gauthier Onclin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1700 vs 1565), a higher Elo rating (1662 vs 1558) and more wins on hard courts (39 vs 34).

Player Comparison

1558.1 Elo 1662.0

1565.0 Elo (surface) 1699.6

69 Wins (Challenger) 81

34 Wins (surface) 39

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 1.127

251 Rank 167

27.7 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Andrade Gauthier Onclin

1st Serve In %

62.5%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andres Andrade Gauthier Onclin

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.6%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.9%

53.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andres Andrade 0 – 0 Gauthier Onclin

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Andres Andrade #251

Gauthier Onclin #167

6-3 6-3

0 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 3

60 Service Points 59

28 First Serve In 27

16 First Serve Won 20

17 Second Serve Won 20

0 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Andres Andrade vs Gauthier Onclin — Prediction