ATP tennis predict — Andrej Nedic vs Sumit Nagal

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Andrej Nedic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

40.55%

Sumit Nagal

India

59.45%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.76

Market probability

47.31% / 52.69%

Why This Prediction?

Sumit Nagal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1699 vs 1599), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1695 vs 1612) and more wins on clay courts (168 vs 24).

Player Comparison

1599.2 Elo 1698.9

1611.7 Elo (surface) 1694.5

24 Wins (Challenger) 218

24 Wins (surface) 168

9 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.167 Dominance ratio 1.103

238 Rank 230

21.8 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Nedic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Sumit Nagal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Sumit Nagal

1st Serve In %

53.1%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

61.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

38.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.67

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.1%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Sumit Nagal

Break Points Saved %

90.0%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

18.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Nedic 1 – 0 Sumit Nagal

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Andrej Nedic #238

Sumit Nagal #230

6-1 7-6

0 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 68

50 First Serve In 51

24 First Serve Won 28

5 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Sofia 2 CH · 2025-08-18

R16

Andrej Nedic #386

Sumit Nagal #299

7-5 1-6 6-4

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 6

92 Service Points 107

51 First Serve In 60

31 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 7

15 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Andrej Nedic vs Sumit Nagal — Prediction