ATP tennis predict — Andrej Nedic vs Johan Nikles

Challenger Clay Como challenger · QF 14:00

Predicted probability

Andrej Nedic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

62.39%

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

37.61%

Average Odds

1.21 / 4.16

Market probability

77.47% / 22.53%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Nedic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1647 vs 1574), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1672 vs 1605) and a stronger serve (61.1% vs 56.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1647.2 Elo 1573.6

1672.0 Elo (surface) 1605.1

30 Wins (Challenger) 58

30 Wins (surface) 50

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.142 Dominance ratio 1.019

257 Rank 424

21.9 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Nedic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Johan Nikles

1st Serve In %

53.1%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.67

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.1%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

55.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Johan Nikles

Break Points Saved %

90.0%

57.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Nedic 0 – 0 Johan Nikles

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Johan Nikles #424

Andrej Nedic #257

4-6 6-2 6-1

1 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 0

83 Service Points 75

46 First Serve In 41

27 First Serve Won 30

15 Second Serve Won 19

6 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.2 Average Odds 1.2

Andrej Nedic vs Johan Nikles — Prediction