ATP tennis predict — Andrej Nedic vs Filippo Romano

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Andrej Nedic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

69.73%

Filippo Romano

Italy

30.27%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.41

Market probability

61.95% / 38.05%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Nedic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1662 vs 1418), a higher Elo rating (1666 vs 1579) and a stronger return game (45.3% vs 40.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1665.9 Elo 1578.9

1662.3 Elo (surface) 1417.6

30 Wins (Challenger) 38

30 Wins (surface) 17

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.223 Dominance ratio 1.042

244 Rank 306

22.0 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Nedic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Filippo Romano

1st Serve In %

53.1%

76.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

87.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

70.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

77.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.67

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.2%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Nedic Filippo Romano

Break Points Saved %

90.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

80.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Nedic and Filippo Romano have never played each other.

Andrej Nedic vs Filippo Romano — Prediction