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Andrej Martin vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

83.22%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

16.78%

Average Odds

1.19  /  3.89

Market probability

76.57%  /  23.43%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1633 vs 1329), a higher Elo rating (1633 vs 1393) and more wins on clay courts (287 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1632.9 Elo 1392.6
1632.6 Elo (surface) 1328.8
334 Wins (Challenger) 29
287 Wins (surface) 5
10 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.267 Dominance ratio 0.914
395 Rank 659
36.9 Age 25.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

60.2%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%
22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%
43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%
56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

52.9%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%
44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Martin and Saba Purtseladze have never played each other.

Andrej Martin — Last 10

L W L L W L W W L W

Saba Purtseladze — Last 10

L L L L W W L W L W