ATP tennis predict — Andrej Martin vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

31.40%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

68.60%

Average Odds

3.25 / 1.30

Market probability

28.57% / 71.43%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1716 vs 1626), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1720 vs 1620) and more aces per game (0.10 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1625.7 Elo 1715.8

1619.8 Elo (surface) 1719.6

339 Wins (Challenger) 136

292 Wins (surface) 133

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.329 Dominance ratio 1.109

387 Rank 157

37.1 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

60.2%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

58.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.2%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

39.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.0%

44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Martin and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo have never played each other.

Andrej Martin vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction