ATP tennis predict — Andrej Martin vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

30.92%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

69.08%

Average Odds

3.91 / 1.22

Market probability

23.78% / 76.22%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1617), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1709 vs 1611) and more aces per game (0.13 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1617.3 Elo 1732.3

1611.5 Elo (surface) 1708.6

337 Wins (Challenger) 125

290 Wins (surface) 66

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.329 Dominance ratio 1.129

387 Rank 233

37.0 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–5L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

60.2%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

71.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

42.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

37.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.0%

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrej Martin Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrej Martin and Alejandro Moro Canas have never played each other.

Andrej Martin vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction