ATP tennis predict — Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Andrea Pellegrino

Italy

33.32%

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

66.68%

Average Odds

2.69 / 1.38

Market probability

33.91% / 66.09%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1499 vs 1381), a higher Elo rating (1718 vs 1697) and more wins on hard courts (61 vs 20).

Player Comparison

1697.1 Elo 1717.6

1381.1 Elo (surface) 1499.5

212 Wins (Challenger) 72

20 Wins (surface) 61

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.952 Dominance ratio 1.094

135 Rank 148

29.4 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrea Pellegrino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Pellegrino Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

58.6%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.0%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.4%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Pellegrino Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrea Pellegrino 0 – 0 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Andrea Pellegrino #135

Nishesh Basavareddy #148

3-6 6-3 6-4

11 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 4

75 Service Points 95

41 First Serve In 48

33 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 30

0 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction