ATP tennis predict — Andrea Guerrieri vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Andrea Guerrieri

Italy

54.49%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

45.51%

Average Odds

1.83 / 1.86

Market probability

50.41% / 49.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1786.2 Elo 1721.2

1712.2 Elo (surface) 1717.2

57 Wins (Challenger) 108

17 Wins (surface) 86

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.983 Dominance ratio 0.829

165 Rank 291

27.8 Age 22.9

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrea Guerrieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–9L · 30.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Guerrieri Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

58.6%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.5%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

51.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Guerrieri Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.8%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrea Guerrieri and Abedallah Shelbayh have never played each other.

Andrea Guerrieri vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction