ATP tennis predict — Andrea Colombo vs Gianmarco Ferrari

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Andrea Colombo

Italy

36.94%

Gianmarco Ferrari

Italy

63.06%

Average Odds

3.47 / 1.28

Market probability

26.95% / 73.05%

Why This Prediction?

Gianmarco Ferrari is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (24 vs 0), more career match wins (30 vs 2) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2).

Player Comparison

1476.3 Elo 1380.1

1452.7 Elo (surface) 1419.2

2 Wins (Challenger) 30

0 Wins (surface) 24

2 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.871 Dominance ratio 1.023

991 Rank 512

23.8 Age 25.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andrea Colombo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Gianmarco Ferrari

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Colombo Gianmarco Ferrari

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andrea Colombo Gianmarco Ferrari

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andrea Colombo 0 – 0 Gianmarco Ferrari

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Andrea Colombo #894

Gianmarco Ferrari #517

7-5 7-6

8 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 0

86 Service Points 73

56 First Serve In 48

41 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.5 Average Odds 1.3

Andrea Colombo vs Gianmarco Ferrari — Prediction