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Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · QF 19:00

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

53.03%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

46.97%

Average Odds

2.38  /  1.52

Market probability

38.97%  /  61.03%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1709.1 Elo 1598.1
1701.9 Elo (surface) 1589.3
80 Wins (Challenger) 116
77 Wins (surface) 97
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 2
0.945 Dominance ratio 1.133
243 Rank 187
25.7 Age 25.5
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

59.5%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%
59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

61.8%
54.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%
31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 0 – 2 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-15

QF

Andre Ilagan #243

Tristan Schoolkate #187

6-4 2-6 6-1
4 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 0
75 Service Points 78
53 First Serve In 44
38 First Serve Won 30
12 Second Serve Won 17
2 Break Points Saved 7
4 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.5
Hard Cary CH · 2025-06-30

R16

Tristan Schoolkate #104

Andre Ilagan #371

6-1 3-6 6-2
11 Aces 4
8 Double Faults 7
84 Service Points 70
40 First Serve In 42
30 First Serve Won 28
20 Second Serve Won 9
8 Break Points Saved 5
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard New Delhi CH · 2025-02-10

QF

Tristan Schoolkate #140

Andre Ilagan #406

6-7(2) 7-6(1) 6-2
16 Aces 4
9 Double Faults 2
120 Service Points 104
63 First Serve In 75
43 First Serve Won 33
23 Second Serve Won 17
10 Break Points Saved 6
16 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Andre Ilagan — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W L

Tristan Schoolkate — Last 10

L L W W W L W W W W