ATP tennis predict — Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

55.28%

Tristan Boyer

USA

44.72%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.79

Market probability

47.73% / 52.27%

Why This Prediction?

Andre Ilagan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1721 vs 1536), a higher Elo rating (1731 vs 1698) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1731.4 Elo 1697.6

1721.4 Elo (surface) 1535.9

1 Wins 24

1 Wins (surface) 18

1 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.825 Dominance ratio 1.150

184 Rank 182

25.8 Age 25.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Tristan Boyer

1st Serve In %

59.5%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Tristan Boyer

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 0 – 0 Tristan Boyer

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Andre Ilagan #184

Tristan Boyer #182

6-4 3-6 6-4

8 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 3

81 Service Points 94

51 First Serve In 47

37 First Serve Won 31

17 Second Serve Won 28

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 10

23 Winners 23

33 Unforced Errors 32

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer — Prediction