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Andre Ilagan vs Remy Bertola — Prediction

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

64.77%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

35.23%

Average Odds

2.58  /  1.45

Market probability

35.98%  /  64.02%

Why This Prediction?

Andre Ilagan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1641 vs 1547), a higher Elo rating (1653 vs 1636) and a stronger return game (36.7% vs 34.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1653.3 Elo 1636.4
1641.0 Elo (surface) 1547.0
0 Wins 8
0 Wins (surface) 5
0 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.005 Dominance ratio 1.005
248 Rank 182
25.7 Age 27.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

59.5%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

61.8%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%
49.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 00 Remy Bertola

Hard Washington · 2026-07-25

qualification - 1. round

Andre Ilagan #248

Remy Bertola #182

7-5 7-6
1 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 6
87 Service Points 76
51 First Serve In 37
35 First Serve Won 28
19 Second Serve Won 19
4 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Andre Ilagan — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W L

Remy Bertola — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L L