ATP tennis predict — Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

47.51%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

52.49%

Average Odds

2.86 / 1.39

Market probability

32.71% / 67.29%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1750.0 Elo 1792.8

1726.9 Elo (surface) 1749.7

2 Wins 251

2 Wins (surface) 146

2 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.774 Dominance ratio 0.919

195 Rank 121

25.9 Age 34.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–8L · 46.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

59.5%

51.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

61.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

70.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

51.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan and Nikoloz Basilashvili have never played each other.

Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction