ATP tennis predict — Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harris

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · F 18:00

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

45.22%

Lloyd Harris

RSA

54.78%

Average Odds

2.63 / 1.44

Market probability

35.38% / 64.62%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1736.5 Elo 1677.2

1728.7 Elo (surface) 1712.8

82 Wins (Challenger) 142

79 Wins (surface) 113

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.965 Dominance ratio 1.040

243 Rank 179

25.8 Age 29.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Lloyd Harris

1st Serve In %

59.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

57.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.83

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Lloyd Harris

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 0 – 0 Lloyd Harris

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-16

F

Lloyd Harris #175

Andre Ilagan #210

6-2 7-6

1 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 3

72 Service Points 62

50 First Serve In 40

34 First Serve Won 35

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harris — Prediction